Regulatory Framework and Oversight
Gibraltar has established a dedicated regulatory framework for prediction markets, marking the first specialized oversight system for the sector. The Ministry for Justice, Trade and Industry published the rules in the Government Gazette to align with the Gambling Act 2025.The 24-page document defines operational conditions for licensed platforms and classifies prediction markets as a distinct category. An independent supervisory panel will manage compliance, mirroring the authority of the Gambling Commissioner. Event contracts require certification and must allow objective settlement while resisting manipulation.
Operators are required to install monitoring systems that prevent insider trading and the misuse of confidential information.
Compliance Standards and Market Participants
Minister Nigel Feetham stated the government aims to "regulate innovation responsibly by providing a clear regulatory framework for operators". The framework applies a risk-based model focused on market integrity, participant protection, and financial crime prevention. Authorities reserve the right to reject contracts linked to public interest concerns, including criminal activity, armed conflict, or severe injury.ADI Predictstreet operates under the new licensing structure, utilizing the ADI Chain developed by Sirius International Holding. Wire Industries Inc, which manages WagerWire, received approval in principle last month and plans to launch B2B and B2C services before the August NFL preseason.